Will There be a 'Red Wave'?

With just two months to go until Election Day, there are some signs to show that the predicted 'Red Wave' might be shrinking.

If you're head deep into conservative/Republican social media, a lot of operatives and activists keep saying that a 'Red Wave' is right around the corner headed for the November midterm elections.

However, polling trends have shown that it might not be that simple.

The Dobbs Decision

“[T]he political terrain comes from the WSJ’s polling editor, Aaron Zitner, who highlights this stunning change in the Journal’s latest survey: “Women who are independents … shifted 20 percentage points in the Democrats’ direction, and Hispanic women moved by 15 points” since the paper’s March poll.”

Since last November I have been tracking the Republicans' momentum nationally based on three of the top polling trackers who update this data daily.

Below, you'll see the latest data I've been looking at over 2022 Q3. I've also included in two benchmarks to show when the Dobbs Supreme Court decision came down and the raid on former President Trump's home in South Florida.

There's no doubt that that the Dobbs decision is having an affect on the 'Red Wave' we were seeing for the first half of the year. The question is if Republicans can turn the tides around and take advantage of President Biden's disapproval numbers to tie it with candidates running for the U.S. House and U.S. Senate.