The Final Countdown

With just less than a month to go until Election Day, the Republican Party is showing signs of momentum.

Republicans are showing some momentum on the latest generic ballot update with less than a month until election day. However, they're still not where they were during most of Q1 and Q2 of this calendar year.

This week's latest numbers:

RealClearPolitics

• Republicans: 46.1%

• Democrats: 45.2%

• Spread: Republicans +0.9

FiveThirtyEight

• Republicans: 45.4%

• Democrats: 44.5%

• Spread: Republicans +0.9

Ballotpedia

● Spread: Democrats +1

According to Sabato’s Crystal Ball, their model shows that “if the generic ballot polling ends up as roughly tied …, the model would suggest something like a 15-seat net gain for Republicans. A Republican lead of 10 points would correspond with a net gain of more like 30 seats.”

With that understanding, Republicans are looking at a slight potential net gain of over 15 congressional seats on November 8th.

Our current prediction is that the Republicans will likely net gain 17-19 congressional seats.

With that said, according to FiveThirtyEight, here are the 11 seats "that should offer the easiest pickup opportunities for the Republicans: districts currently represented by a Democrat but vote at least 5 points more Republican than the country as a whole."